Friday, November 13, 2009

Week 10 Picks

Jay Cutler has 17 interceptions through the first 9 weeks. I'm glad Chicago only gave up TWO first round picks for him. The Bears franchise has been set back a couple years because of trades for Jay Cutler and Gaines Adams that have left them without a pick in the first 2 rounds next year. Teams that are terrible on defense and the O-Line need draft picks I'd say. Anyway, home teams in Caps.

Jacksonville (+7) over NEW YORK JETS
Tricky line since it's exactly a TD +1, but I don't trust Mark Sanchez at HOME in November. This is the same player that in October said he hadn't played in poor weather. Well, it's a month later and the Jaguars are built to play well in this environment.

WASHINGTON (+3.5) over Denver
Maybe I'm crazy, but the Redskins looked better in the second half against the Falcons. This is a cross-country trip for a Broncos team that has played poorly the last two weeks. And oh yeah, Kyle Orton turned into Kyle Orton again.

Cincinnati (+7) over PITTSBURGH
Loving the Dogs this week. The Bengals are really good and have a defense that is on par with the Steelers. The difference between these teams is the Bengals are the team that can run the football and control the clock, while Pittsburgh will depend on "Big Ben" to carry the offense.

TENNESSEE (-7) over Buffalo
Vince Young IS walking through that door! Apparently, all it took was 2 years of sitting, suicide thoughts, and being outcast from the team for Young to turn into a game management QB.

Detroit (+17) over MINNESOTA
I can't reasonable justify laying 17 points, I don't care how big a gap there is in talent discrepancy. On a side not, why does Brett Favre feel the need to "mention" to the media all his injuries. And the media just laps it up.

New Orleans (-13.5) over ST. LOUIS
The Saints. On turf. Against the Rams. I feel like Ernest Hemmingway with those sentences.

Atlanta (-1.5) over CAROLINA
So Vegas is buying into the resurgent Panthers? I'm not and look for this one to get ugly. It's time for the Falcons to prove they are a playoff caliber team. Oh yea, Jake Delhomme plays for the Panthers.

Tampa Bay (+10) over MIAMI
Not really a home or road game for either team. I think this Bucs team is frisky and can keep it close against a Dolphins team that just doesn't move the ball very well. Josh Freeman looked really good after getting settled in and Chad Henne has more ups and downs than Apollo's Chariot roller coaster.

Kansas City (+2) over OAKLAND
Ummmm, yea.

ARIZONA (-8.5) over Seattle
Maybe the Cardinals can convince themselves that they are on the road this week. 4-0 on the road, 1-3 at home. Still, Seattle didn't inspire much confidence against the Lions last week and Kurt Warner has the Arizona offense clicking.

Philadelphia (+1.5) over SAN DIEGO
My yearly Super Bowl pick. Both teams need it and the Chargers are hot. So why am I taking the Eagles on the road? Norv Turner. The Chargers have only beat one good team this year (the Giants and it's debatable if they are good).

GREEN BAY (+3) over Dallas
Call me skeptical. Call me a hater. Call me whatever, but I don't think this Dallas team is division-winning caliber. A bad spot last week was the turning point in a big road win. The Packers are desperate and need this one to stay in the playoff hunt. Desperate teams win at home.

INDIANAPOLIS (-3) over New England
An annual ritual at this point. The Patriots are playing excellent on offense, but there is no comparison to Peyton Manning. And in Manning I trust (with my money at least). Expect points and big plays all night. I'm guessing the Colts have the ball last.

Baltimore (-11) over CLEVELAND
Why is Cleveland on MNF? Would ESPN be better off running World Series of Poker reruns?

Last Week: 6-7
This Week: 1-0
Season: 66-64


2 comments:

  1. You should hang it up muchumbo. Lions over Vikes? Dude, Vikes will win by at least 21.

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  2. We're both haters. The Pack needs this one to keep their playoff hopes alive, while the 'Boys fare much better when the refs blow crucial game-changing calls in their favor. It won't happen this week after the head of NFL officiating publically outed the blown call during the Eagles-Cowboys game last week. I like Green Bay in this one. Or is it just wishful thinking? Nah...

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